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Outside the escalating regional war in the Middle East and the associated surge in energy prices, a key investor worry right now is the accelerating deterioration in private credit markets. Private credit market stress is broadening beyond software, potentially impacting funds exposed to fintech-originated consumer and small business loans.
Gold, often a haven during times of stress, has been falling. Meanwhile, stocks are down, but not as much as many expected.
I remain bullish on the S&P 500, favoring cyclical value, top-tier asset managers, and precious metals despite heightened stagflation and geopolitical risks. Recent market volatility, driven by energy shocks and war risk, has shifted sentiment toward safety, but I see opportunity in unloved, high-quality cyclicals.
Valuations have come way down for software stocks — but just how cheap they really are depends on your view of a sizable hidden expense.
‘Barron's Roundtable' panelists discuss how the Iran conflict and soaring oil prices are impacting global supply chains and fueling inflation fears. #fox #media #breakingnews #us #usa #new #news #breaking #foxbusiness #barronsroundtable #stocks #stockmarket #economy #inflation #oil #energy #iran #war #middleeast #global #markets #investing #finance #supplychain #prices #trade #business #geopolitics
A rate increase, once unthinkable, has become thinkable thanks to stubborn inflation, Iran and a resilient economy.
Oil Shock Repriced Everything: The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and direct attacks on Middle East energy infrastructure drove crude toward $100+, injecting inflation risk back into markets and dominating price action across asset classes. The Fed's Cut Narrative Cracked: After three rate cuts since September, expectations for continued easing were disrupted as hotter inflation data and rising oil forced markets to reassess timing, pushing yields and the dollar higher.
This week marked a new turn in central banking, with no less than 8 rate decisions across majors. With the turn in central bank communications, gold, bonds, and stocks all took a significant hit.
Equities around the world continue to take it on the chin this March, with month-to-date performance coinciding with the beginning of the start of the war in Iran. ETFs across asset classes are bleeding red this month with the exception of a few: bitcoin, the energy sector, oil and other energy/ag commodities, and Israel.
Stocks fell to session lows after President Trump told reporters, “I don't want to do a cease-fire.”
CNBC's Jim Cramer discusses what he thinks of private credit markets.
The stock market just closed out a rough week. According to CNBC's Jim Cramer, the pain is unlikely to end anytime soon.
Private-sector balance sheets offer ballast as inflation accelerates and stocks slide. Plus, investment newsletter commentary on Sunbelt REITS, Chinese AI, and the selloff in gold.
Kevin Book, Managing Director at ClearView Energy Partners, discusses the global oil market impact of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the potential for prolonged supply outages and the risk of sharply higher crude and gasoline prices. He also addresses policy options under consideration and implications for US energy strategy.
The JPMorgan BetaBuilders Canada ETF (BBCA) is rated a sell due to worsening Canadian macroeconomic conditions and trade tensions with the U.S. Canada faces potential technical recession, elevated unemployment (6.7%), and declining consumer spending, increasing BBCA's risk profile despite attractive valuation metrics. BBCA's PE (17.83) and PS (2.52) ratios are not low enough to compensate for heightened macro risks; SPY offers better risk-adjusted upside.
U.S. stocks finished sharply lower on Friday, as investors wrapped up another bruising week.
Between undercuts and upside reversals, the S&P 500 is keeping investors off balance.
Investors' hopes for a quick resolution to the Iran war are fading. U.S. stocks and bonds slid on Friday after the Pentagon sent three more warships and a new deployment of marines to the region, increasing fears of a prolonged conflict that extends the largest disruption to oil supplies in history.
Global central banks are striking a hawkish tone as persistent inflation fuels volatility across markets. Sam Vadas and Alex Coffey break down policy signals from the Fed, BOE, and ECB, rising bond yields, and how Middle East tensions are influencing rates.
All three major indexes were once again down for the week. Blame it on oil, gold, and the Fed.