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Benjamin Graham, the great investor after whose book this newsletter is named, was a big believer in giving investors “something to do.” He often warned that the human urge to take action would get investors into trouble unless they channeled it into simple, incremental steps.
I see a likely deal emerging between Iran and Western powers, potentially easing market anxiety and energy disruptions. Citrini Research reveals up to 50% more tanker traffic through Hormuz than AIS data shows, suggesting oil markets may misprice supply risks.
Amy Wu Silverman, RBC Capital Markets head of derivatives strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss recent institutional behavior, the market impact of the Iran war, which regional equities investors deem safest if conflicts continue, and more.
US stocks fell Tuesday morning and oil prices rose as President Trump's 8 p.m. ET deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz quickly neared – and investors feared a deal would not be reached in time.
TMC Research's markets-based estimate of Iran War risk still indicates an elevated risk regime. The surge in oil prices is the main driver of heightened risk expectations.
Ackman previously expressed interest in UMG in 2021, vowing to buy a 10% stake in UMG through his SPAC, but he abandoned the deal after pushback from regulators. He purchased a 10% stake instead through Pershing Square, and he sat on the company's board of directors until he resigned in 2025, citing other commitments.
The Iran war continues into a new month, and markets are hoping that we'll see another rally from the lows similar to April a year ago. We don't think that hope is misplaced; instead, we believe we're closer to a resolution as both sides exchange demands.
Wall Street's main indexes opened lower on Tuesday as investors assessed escalating tensions between the United States and Iran ahead of President Donald Trump's deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 214 points, or 0.46%, while the S&P 500 index fell 0.42% and the Nasdaq 100 declined 0.47%, reflecting growing unease about the trajectory of the conflict and its potential economic impact.
U.S. stocks traded lower this morning, with the Dow Jones index falling around 200 points on Tuesday.
The theme of Tuesday's trading action is perception versus reality, says Kevin Hincks. He urges investors to keep your heads on a swivel as headlines surrounding the U.S. and Iran hit the wire.
New York Fed President John Williams says monetary policy is “really well positioned” for the Fed to “wait and see” on the economic consequences of war in Iran. Williams also comments on his view of the US economy and labor market and the issue of continuity at the Federal Open Market Committee.
Despite escalating Iran tensions and President Trump's threats, equity markets remain resilient, reflecting investor skepticism or anticipation of a diplomatic resolution. Oil prices have surged above $113 per barrel, highlighting commodity market sensitivity to geopolitical risk, while equities discount immediate escalation.
Clinton, on CNBC's Squawk Box on Monday, said the tech sector remains the key driver of broader markets and argued that AI could significantly improve corporate efficiency.
An increase in the expected Medicare Advantage payment rates for 2027 could be a catalyst for the industry.
Demand for U.S. durable goods declined in February from January, according to delayed data published by the Commerce Department Tuesday.
Crude oil futures broke above $116 heading into Tuesday's trading session as global markets wait anxiously for a tentative U.S.-Iran conflict resolution. If Iran doesn't agree to U.S. terms by the 8pm Eastern deadline, @ProsperTradingAcademy's Scott Bauer warns investors to prepare for a sharp pullback.
US stocks are expected to open lower on Tuesday as strikes in the Middle East continued and oil prices swung sharply ahead of the latest deadline set by President Donald Trump for Iran to agree a deal. Dow Jones futures were down 0.3%, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures down 0.4% and 0.5%, respectively.
Ali Martinez, a popular on-chain trading expert on X, speculated late on Monday, April 7, that the U.S. stock market is headed for something of a false rise in the coming months before suffering a catastrophic crash over the course of several years.
Investors normally go all-in for stocks that outperform the S&P 500. But amid inflation and war chaos, sometimes stability is desirable.
“I still think the Fed is wrong and they will have to hike this year, they just don't know it yet.”