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HIGHLIGHTS: Stocks: In March, the S&P 500 Index posted its worst month since 2022. Bonds: Rates moved sharply higher during March, creating a difficult environment for bonds.

Senate Grills Trump's Fed Chair Pick Warsh Key Takeaways.

Bitcoin is poised for a major bull cycle as systemic liquidity stress forces the Fed to expand its balance sheet, historically driving BTC exponential rallies. Repo market dysfunction, rising corporate debt maturities, and minimum bank reserves signal imminent Fed intervention, with M2 money supply growth outpacing GDP and fueling asset inflation. BTC's fixed supply, computational security, and regulatory clarity position it as a superior hedge against fiat debasement and systemic instability versus altcoins and traditional assets.

CAPE signals elevated valuation for the stock market, but a shorter-term measure suggests conditions remain "normal". Divergent signaling reflects differing methodologies and limits of single‑metric views.

Broad US index funds like Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) remain robust despite rule changes accelerating large IPO inclusions. Even in extreme scenarios, mega-IPOs' impact on index fund returns is minimal—potentially a 0.2% drag, far less than typical daily market moves.

The CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) slipped to the 19 level on Wednesday morning, down roughly 2.5%, signaling fear has subsided.

Shares of private credit funds are trading at their deepest discounts to net asset values in more than 5-1/2 years as investors grow more sceptical of valuations and mounting stress in the sector.
Roundhill's DRAM ETF hit $1 billion in assets in just 10 trading days.
Steve Klinsky, New Mountain Capital founder and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of private credit and private equity, latest market trends, private equity and private credit's retail push, and more.

US stock indices moved higher on Wednesday, signaling a positive open for Wall Street after President Donald Trump extended the ceasefire with Iran, even as uncertainty persisted over the durability of the truce. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by more than 417 points, or about 0.85%, while the S&P 500 gained roughly 0.67% and the Nasdaq 100 climbed 0.72%.
Alec Young (@MoneyFlowsCom) believes the stock market hit the bottom on March 30 when the S&P 500 (SPX) hovered around 6,300. He believes we're in a set-up where a sharp and steady rebound will shape even if "nasty headlines" on Iran still hit the tape.

Swedish central bank Governor Erik Thedeen said on Wednesday the risk has risen somewhat that inflation could be higher than the Riksbank expected a few weeks ago.

Geopolitical tensions over the Strait of Hormuz are driving elevated oil and commodity prices, pressuring global supply chains and economic growth. Despite a temporary ceasefire extension, Iran's blockade persists, keeping energy and input costs high and increasing stagflation risks.

CME set a record daily trading activity, but the stock was set to fall as revenue was only in line with high investor expectations.

The European Union is considering requiring countries to hold stockpiles of jet fuel, and potentially redistribute it based on regional needs and shortages, Europe's energy policy chief told Reuters on Wednesday, as concerns mount over possible shortages tied to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran.
Navitas Semiconductor stock and these others are gaining as investors bet power chips will benefit from artificial intelligence.

Stock futures are rising after two days of losses as investors respond to the latest developments in the Iran war; President Trump said a ceasefire would be extended indefinitely ahead of a potential second round of peace talks with Iran, while multiple ships in the Strait of Hormuz were attacked this morning; Tesla is due to report quarterly results after the closing bell today; SpaceX has agreed to partner with AI coding startup Cursor and potentially acquire the company for $60 billion; and earnings from Boeing, GE Vernova and AT&T headline another busy morning of corporate results. Here's what you need to know today.

A popular exchange-traded fund that tracks stocks in emerging markets has surged in April — but the ETF is still trailing the S&P 500 since the start of the Iran conflict.

Kevin Warsh is taking another step toward his decade-long goal of winning the top job at the Federal Reserve by appearing at a hearing before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday. But the role that he may eventually assume could turn out vastly different than what he expected.Inflation is worsening as the Iran war has spiked gas prices, making it much harder for the Fed to implement the interest rate cuts President Donald Trump so desperately seeks.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a well-known technical indicator that ranges from zero to 100.